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General Election 2017 odds: Bookies predicting Labour to lose THREE Birmingham seats

General Election 2017 odds: Bookies predicting Labour to lose THREE Birmingham seats

Bookies are predicting a major political overhaul in Birmingham – with the Conservatives predicted to take THREE seats from Labour in the General Election .

Birmingham was Labour-dominated before Theresa May called the June 8 General Election – but bookmakers say that is going to change.

Paddy Power is putting Conservative candidates as favourite in three swing seats – Edgbaston, Erdington and Northfield.

It would be a blow to Labour and Jeremy Corbyn as the party presently holds all but one of them .

If the bookmaker is right – and they often aren’t when it comes to political odds – the landscape would be very different in Birmingham.

It would leave Labour with just six seats and the Conservatives with four, with Andrew Mitchell heavily backed to retain the Sutton Coldfield constituency.

Birmingham Mail
Jack Dromey

The Edgbaston seat – presently held by Labour – is 1/7 to be taken by the Tories – so a £7 bet returns just £1 it is considered so likely.

After Brexit champion Gisela Stuart stood down from the seat, Labour candidate Preet Gill is 4/1 against to pick up a win.

Perhaps even more surprisingly, the Tories are odds on to take Erdington.

While Jack Dromey, who was previously the MP in Erdington, is a 7/4 shot, his Tory opponent Robert Alden is 1/3.

Labour is also predicted to lose Northfield, with Richard Burden 2/1 against to remain in place. His Tory rival is 4/11 against to take the seat.

Birmingham Mail
Richard Burden
Richard Burden

The one crumb of comfort it can take from bookmakers is in Selly Oak. Labour’s Steve McCabe is under pressure, he is odds on to remain in his seat.

Jess Phillips is also predicted to hold onto her seat in Yardley. While former Yardley MP Lib Dem John Hemmings is challenging her, he is 6/4 against with Paddy Power while Mrs Phillips is 1/2 on.

The one Tory in Birmingham is the most certain to retain his seat, according to Paddy Power. Andrew Mitchell is 1/500 to remain in place in Sutton Coldfield.


  • Caroline Squire, Conservative 1/7

  • Preet Gill, Labour 4/1

  • Colin Green, Liberal Democrat 33/1

  • UKIP 66/1

  • Alice Keef, Green 500/1

  • Dick Rodgers, Europe Needs Us – no odds offered


  • Robert Alden, Conservative 1/3

  • Jack Dromey, Labour 7/4

  • UKIP 66/1

  • Ann Holtom, Liberal Democrat 100/1

  • James Lovatt Green 500/1

Hall Green

  • Roger Godsiff, Labour 1/200

  • Patrick Cox, Green 33/1

  • Jerry Evans, Liberal Democrat 33/1

  • UKIP 33/1

  • Reena Ranger, Conservative 33/1

Hodge Hill

  • Liam Byrne, Labour 1/200

  • Clare Thomas, Green 33/1

  • Phil Bennion, Liberal Democrat 33/1

  • Mohammed Khan, UKIP 33/1

  • Ahmereen Reza, Conservative 33/1


  • Shabana Mahmood, Labour 1/200

  • Dennis Kefentse, Green 33/1

  • Lee Dargue, Liberal Democrat 33/1

  • UKIP 33/1

  • Andrew Browning, Conservative 33/1


  • Meg Powell-Chandler, Conservative 4/11

  • Richard Burden, Labour 2/1

  • Roger Harmer, Liberal Democrat 17/1

  • UKIP 25/1

  • Eleanor Masters, Green 100/1

Perry Barr

  • Khalid Mahmood, Labour 1/25

  • Charlotte Hodivala, Conservative 10/1

  • Liberal Democrat 50/1

  • Vijay Rana, Green 33/1

  • UKIP 66/1

  • Harjinder Singh, Open Borders – no odds given

  • Shangara Singh Bhatoe, Socialist Labour – no odds given

Selly Oak

  • Steve McCabe, Labour 4/7

  • Sophie Shrubsole, Conservative 5/4

  • David Radcliffe, Liberal Democrat 66/1

  • UKIP 100/1

  • Julien Pritchard, Green 500/1

Sutton Coldfield

  • Andrew Mitchell, Conservative 1/500

  • Rob Pocock, Labour 40/1

  • Jennifer Wilkinson, Liberal Democrat 50/1

  • UKIP 200/1

  • David Ratcliff, Green 500/1

  • Hannah Sophia, Independent – no odds given


  • Jess Phillips, Labour 1/2

  • John Hemming, Liberal Democrat 6/4

  • Mohammed Afzal, Conservative 14/1

  • Paul Clayton, UKIP 100/1

  • Christopher Garghan, Green 200/1

  • Abu Nowshed, Independent – no odds given

Source: Paddy Power – odds accurate as of 4pm, May 18.


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